The Trump administration has declined to renew the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) in its current form, launching a new phase of negotiations over North America’s signature trade pact while allowing the agreement to remain in force, according to FreightWaves.
The announcement came Wednesday following the first joint review required under USMCA's "sunset" provision, which calls for the three member nations to evaluate the agreement six years after it took effect. The U.S. informed Mexico and Canada that it would not agree to extend the agreement in its current form, triggering annual reviews until the issues are resolved or the pact expires in 2036.
"The United States did not agree to renew the USMCA in its current form. As a result, the USMCA is not renewed." — U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer's office, in a news release
Trade Hits Record Levels
The decision comes despite North American trade reaching historic highs. According to FreightWaves, U.S.-Mexico two-way trade totaled a record $872.83 billion in 2025, reinforcing Mexico’s position as the United States’ largest trading partner. Meanwhile, total two-way trade between the United States and Canada reached $712.76 billion last year, making Canada the nation’s second-largest trading partner. Combined, the two neighboring countries accounted for more than $1.58 trillion in annual U.S. trade, underscoring the economic importance of the USMCA region for manufacturers, retailers, automakers, agricultural producers and logistics providers.
| Trade Partner | Two-Way Trade (2025) |
|---|---|
| U.S.-Mexico | $872.83 billion |
| U.S.-Canada | $712.76 billion |
| Combined | $1.58 trillion |
For the trucking industry, the agreement governs hundreds of billions of dollars in cross-border freight moving annually through gateways such as Laredo, Texas; Detroit-Windsor; Buffalo-Niagara; and Otay Mesa, California.
Annual Review Process Begins
USMCA, which replaced the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in 2020, contains a unique review mechanism designed to force member countries to periodically evaluate the agreement. July 1 marked the deadline for the three governments to determine whether to extend the agreement for another 16 years. With the U.S. declining to do so, officials from all three countries must now meet annually to discuss possible revisions until an agreement is reached or the pact expires in 2036. The Trump administration has argued that changes are needed to address U.S. trade deficits and other concerns with the agreement.
Bilateral negotiations between the U.S. and Mexico are scheduled to resume during the week of July 20, according to FreightWaves.
Industry Groups Urge Renewal
Industries that rely heavily on integrated North American supply chains had previously urged the Trump administration to renew USMCA. The National Corn Growers Association called USMCA "the single most important trade agreement to the corn industry," noting that Mexico is the largest buyer of U.S. corn while Canada is the country’s largest export market for ethanol. The group urged negotiators to preserve the agreement while pursuing targeted improvements.
The Consumer Technology Association also warned against allowing the agreement to lapse, saying USMCA provides businesses with certainty to invest and innovate across an integrated North American market of nearly 500 million consumers. The organization argued that the agreement’s digital trade provisions help the U.S., Mexico and Canada compete against China in emerging technologies.
What Comes Next
Despite the lack of renewal, the administration emphasized that USMCA remains in force while negotiations continue. "The United States will continue to engage with Mexico and Canada to address the Agreement’s shortcomings and our trade deficits with these countries," Greer said. The annual reviews will keep the agreement under constant scrutiny until a revised pact is agreed or the agreement sunsets in 2036.
For importers, exporters, and logistics providers, the immediate effect is continued operation under the existing rules, but with heightened uncertainty about long-term tariff preferences and market access. Trucking and cross-border freight will remain vital, but the annual review process injects a periodic risk of disruption.
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