Topic
rainfall
Commodities El Nino Set to Deepen India's Rainfall Deficit Through September, ECMWF Says
India's all-India monsoon deficit stood at 13 per cent as of August 16 and is expected to widen through September as El Nino strengthens, according to the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). East and North-East India remain the worst-hit with a 27 per cent deficit, while kharif sowing has recovered to a deficit of less than 1 per cent. The US Climate Prediction Center sees a more than 90 per cent chance of a very strong El Nino in 2026-27.
Commodities Uneven spread of Indian monsoon raises concern over kharif crop prospects
As of July 31, India's South-West monsoon was 13% deficient despite above-normal July rain, and the India Meteorological Department has predicted below-normal rainfall in August. Sixteen states reported deficient rain, kharif acreage lagged year-ago levels by 5%, and Maharashtra farmers are considering short-duration nutri-cereal crops.
Commodities India monsoon deficit narrows to 13% after July surplus; IMD predicts below-normal August rain
India's monsoon rainfall deficit narrowed to 13% in June–July after July posted a 1% surplus, but IMD has forecast below-normal August rain. Regional discrepancies are wide, with the south peninsula and east/north-east recording large shortfalls.
Commodities India’s moong sowing dips 11% on lower rainfall, likely to gather pace
India’s moong sowing has dropped 11% from the previous year due to lower rainfall in key states, according to government data. However, recent rains are expected to help acreage recover to at least last year’s level. Farmers continue to grow moong despite prices averaging 26% below the minimum support price.
Commodities Up to 83% Rainfall Deficit in Kashmir Valley Threatens Apple Orchards and Paddy Fields
A severe rainfall deficit across several districts of Jammu and Kashmir, with Shopian recording an 83% shortfall, is harming apple orchards and paddy fields. Horticulture experts warn of fruit cracking and lenticel blotch, while farmers report drying fields and hardened soil, raising the risk of substantial crop loss. Widespread rains are expected from July 19.
Commodities Reservoirs, sowing trend, next ‘low’ may disprove worst monsoon fears in India
Despite uneven June rainfall, India's reservoir storage in 166 major reservoirs stands close to normal at 47.72 billion cubic metres (bcm) as of July 2, against the normal of 48.40 bcm. A fresh low-pressure area is likely to form over the north Bay of Bengal within 5-6 days, potentially reviving widespread rainfall. Former IMD chief KJ Ramesh stresses that assessing monsoon health via reservoir storage and sowing acreages offers a truer picture than rainfall departures alone.
Commodities Monsoon recovery to support kharif sowing as rainfall activity improves: Report
India's monsoon rainfall has improved in recent weeks, with cumulative precipitation up to July 6 at 170.7 mm, 20% below the long period average. The recovery is expected to support kharif sowing, which stood at 35.1 million hectares as of July 5, down 20.8% year-on-year, according to an ICICI Bank report. Regional disparities persist, with East and Northeast India seeing a 41% deficit, while South India has 15% above normal.
Commodities Deficit summer rains in South India slash May 2026 tea output by 3.54% year-on-year
India's tea production in May 2026 fell 3.54% year-on-year to 131.60 million kg, driven by a 25% decline in South India due to deficit summer rains. North India saw a marginal increase. Tamil Nadu output dropped 28%, while Kerala fell 16%. The Tea Board data highlights the impact of dry weather on the key growing regions.
Commodities Central India faces critical two-week sowing window as monsoon revival offers brief relief
Satellite imagery shows monsoon revival along India's west coast, offering a two-week window (June 22-July 6) for sowing in rain-deficient Central India. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project rainfall weakening significantly after July 6, with deficits exceeding 60% in parts of the region. Farmers face uncertainty as the best sowing opportunity narrows.
Commodities India Receives 32% Deficient Rains During June 1-15, IMD Data Shows
India recorded 42.4 mm of rainfall from June 1-15, 32% below the normal of 62.1 mm, according to the India Meteorological Department. Central India saw the largest deficit at 57%, while North-West India had an 8% surplus. Monsoon advancement continues slowly.
Commodities Monsoon Stalls: Rain Deficit Deepens in West India
The monsoon has stalled along India's coast, leading to a significant rain deficit in West India. Key regions like Saurashtra and Kutch are experiencing over 60% below-normal rainfall.
Commodities Monsoon Slowdown Expected in North-West India Due to Western Disturbance
The monsoon in north-west India is expected to slow down due to a western disturbance, affecting agricultural activities. Heavy rainfall remains concentrated along the west coast, but a slowdown is anticipated in the coming days.
Commodities Monsoon Advances Amid Strengthening El Niño Signals
The Indian monsoon has advanced further, covering key agricultural regions, while El Niño signals strengthen, potentially impacting crop yields. Traders are closely monitoring these developments.
Commodities Delayed Monsoon Affects Indian Agriculture Markets
The delayed monsoon in India, influenced by El Niño, is impacting agricultural commodity markets. Key regions like Gujarat and Rajasthan face below-normal rainfall, affecting crop forecasts.
Commodities India's South-West Monsoon Begins Over Kerala
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Commodities Monsoon Relief Expected in Tamil Nadu
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Trade Kerala Monsoon Onset Delayed, Rainfall 55% Below Normal
The India Meteorological Department forecasts a delayed monsoon onset over Kerala on June 4, with initial rainfall 55% below normal. This weather pattern could impact agricultural trade and import/export activities in India.
Commodities Monsoon Delays Impact Kerala's Agricultural Markets
The delayed monsoon onset in Kerala is affecting agricultural commodity markets, with potential impacts on crop yields and prices. Traders are closely monitoring weather forecasts and market reactions.
Commodities Below-Normal Monsoon Forecast Threatens Indian Agriculture
The India Meteorological Department forecasts below-normal monsoon rainfall and above-normal heatwaves in June, impacting key agricultural regions. This development could significantly affect commodity markets, particularly for crops like rice and wheat.
Business Monsoon Delays Could Impact Indian Agriculture and Economy
The delayed onset of the monsoon in India, as forecasted by the IMD, could have significant implications for the agricultural sector and broader economic conditions. This delay is attributed to disrupted atmospheric conditions and a developing storm system.
Trade Monsoon Alert: Sri Lanka Hit, Kerala Next
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Commodities India's Monsoon Forecast: Below Normal at 90% LPA in 2026
The India Meteorological Department forecasts a below-normal monsoon for 2026, with rainfall at 90% of the long period average. This could significantly impact agricultural output in key regions.
Commodities India's Monsoon Shortfall Threatens Agricultural Output
India's monsoon is projected at 90% of the long-period average, marking the driest period in 11 years. This shortfall could significantly impact agricultural output.